Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.001753 0.001828 0.001906 0.001994 0.002090 0.002191 0.002308
2025-06-08 0.001650 0.001760 0.001880 0.002020 0.002182 0.002364 0.002588
2025-06-15 0.001569 0.001702 0.001851 0.002033 0.002252 0.002512 0.002853
2025-06-22 0.001487 0.001633 0.001801 0.002011 0.002275 0.002601 0.003051
2025-06-29 0.001415 0.001569 0.001749 0.001980 0.002278 0.002661 0.003215
2025-07-06 0.001363 0.001524 0.001715 0.001967 0.002299 0.002742 0.003414
2025-07-13 0.001291 0.001450 0.001641 0.001896 0.002238 0.002703 0.003432
2025-07-20 0.001255 0.001419 0.001619 0.001889 0.002260 0.002779 0.003631
2025-07-27 0.001232 0.001402 0.001612 0.001901 0.002308 0.002897 0.003913
2025-08-03 0.001201 0.001373 0.001588 0.001888 0.002317 0.002956 0.004105
2025-08-10 0.001183 0.001361 0.001585 0.001903 0.002368 0.003083 0.004441
2025-08-17 0.001158 0.001338 0.001566 0.001894 0.002383 0.003154 0.004684
2025-08-24 0.001128 0.001307 0.001538 0.001872 0.002377 0.003191 0.004874
2025-08-31 0.001119 0.001304 0.001545 0.001901 0.002452 0.003375 0.005431
2025-09-07 0.001105 0.001294 0.001542 0.001914 0.002503 0.003525 0.005963
2025-09-14 0.001081 0.001269 0.001519 0.001896 0.002502 0.003577 0.006266
2025-09-21 0.001055 0.001242 0.001491 0.001869 0.002482 0.003591 0.006476
2025-09-28 0.001036 0.001223 0.001473 0.001857 0.002488 0.003656 0.006855
2025-10-05 0.001001 0.001181 0.001423 0.001793 0.002402 0.003526 0.006600
2025-10-12 0.000986 0.001167 0.001410 0.001787 0.002414 0.003600 0.007021
2025-10-19 0.000977 0.001161 0.001409 0.001798 0.002457 0.003743 0.007756
2025-10-26 0.000962 0.001145 0.001394 0.001786 0.002458 0.003795 0.008189
2025-11-02 0.000955 0.001140 0.001394 0.001799 0.002505 0.003958 0.009191